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Autor	Katarzyna Banasiak
Tytuł	Zastosowanie wybranych narzędzi analizy technicznej w prognozowaniu cen kontraktów terminowych na pszenicę
Title	The application of technical analysis tools in price predictions on the wheat futures market
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Abstract	The aim of the paper is to show that advanced technical analysis tools which are based on the Fibonacci ratios can be used to identify the trend’s direction on the wheat futures market. The research methods are based on the identification of the support and resistance levels using the selected tools for technical analysis. The data used in study cover the period form October 2008 to October 2010. The analysis has been carried out in the technical analysis software – XTB trader. The paper discusses the selected technical analysis tools and presents their application in price forecasting on the wheat futures market. The implementation of Fibonacci retracements, Fibonacci projections and Fibonacci fan has been shown. The research has revealed that forecasts formulated using the tools of technical analysis are accurate and reliable. It amounts that the technical analysis is effective in price predictions on the wheat futures market or there is sufficiently large number of market’s participants who use technical analysis and by applying the same tools and methods they push the price in the same predicted directions. This is so called self-fulfilling prophecy.
Cytowanie	Banasiak K. (2010) Zastosowanie wybranych narzędzi analizy technicznej w prognozowaniu cen kontraktów terminowych na pszenicę.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 85: 147-159
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Pełny tekst	EIOGZ_2010_n85_s147.pdf

Autor	Katarzyna Banasiak
Tytuł	Modele kryzysów walutowych
Title	Models of currency crises
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Abstract	The article describes and characterizes the models of currency crises. The presentation of the first-generation model is based on the crisis in Latin America, the second-generation model based on the crisis of European Monetary System and the Asian crisis exemplifi es the third-generation model. The article demonstrates a non-zero-sum game which displays the role of the currency reserves. It is shown that the level of the currency reserves has an impast on both the probability of potential speculative attack and the investors’ way of thinking, as well as their investment strategies.
Cytowanie	Banasiak K. (2009) Modele kryzysów walutowych.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 80: 69-82
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Pełny tekst	EIOGZ_2009_n80_s69.pdf